Research

Free data stack for a cyclicals research site.

The blueprint behind the dashboards on this site. Seven verticals laid out top-down — rates / FX / credit, economic calendar / policy, semis, oil & energy, shipping & trade, macro demand, and valuation reference — built entirely on free, automatable public data. APIs, CSVs, Excel drops, stable HTML pages — no Bloomberg, no FactSet, no Daloopa, no paid shipping feeds. This page documents every source, the widget it feeds, the MVP API stack to start with, and the cycle-score formulas on top.

Rates, FX & credit

The cross-asset backdrop. Treasury yield curve, key FX pairs, credit spreads, and inflation-linked yields — the cost-of-capital and risk-appetite layer that prices every cyclical equity story underneath.

Live snapshot — Yahoo data via worker Auto-pulls on load · ~1y daily history

10-yr Treasury^TNX
30-yr Treasury^TYX
13-wk T-bill^IRX
Dollar IndexDX-Y.NYB
EUR / USDEURUSD=X
USD / JPYUSDJPY=X
VIX^VIX
HY credit (HYG)HYG
Source Method What to track Site use
U.S. Treasury Daily Yield Curve Public page / CSV Daily 1M / 3M / 6M / 1Y / 2Y / 3Y / 5Y / 7Y / 10Y / 20Y / 30Y constant-maturity yields Yield curve tracker
FRED — Interest Rates API · free key DGS10, DGS2, DFF (Fed funds), T10Y2Y / T10Y3M (curve spreads), SOFR, IORB Yield curve tracker, Curve spread tracker
FRED — TIPS breakevens (T10YIE, T5YIFR) API · free key 10-yr breakeven inflation, 5y5y forward inflation, real yields TIPS / breakevens tracker
ICE BofA HY OAS & IG OAS via FRED API · free key BAMLH0A0HYM2 (HY OAS), BAMLC0A0CM (IG OAS) — the cleanest free read on credit conditions Credit spreads tracker
ECB Euro Reference Exchange Rates CSV / API Daily EUR cross-rates against ~30 currencies, full history FX tracker
Federal Reserve H.10 FX Rates CSV / web Daily / weekly / monthly USD vs. major and broad indexes; foreign-exchange rates by country FX tracker
BIS Effective Exchange Rates CSV / API Nominal and real effective exchange rates (NEER / REER) for ~60 economies FX tracker
NY Fed SOFR & reference rates Public page / API Daily SOFR, SOFR averages (30/90/180-day), Term SOFR context, OBFR, EFFR Yield curve tracker

Economic calendar & policy reports

When data prints, what central banks said, and what the multilateral institutions are forecasting. The schedule layer that anchors every other vertical — FOMC, CME FedWatch, BLS releases, ECB, IMF, World Bank.

Source Method What to track Site use
FOMC Calendar & Statements Public page / PDF FOMC meeting dates, statements, minutes (3-week lag), SEP / dot plot, press conference transcripts FOMC tracker
CME FedWatch Tool Public dashboard Implied probability of FOMC moves at each upcoming meeting from Fed funds futures pricing FOMC tracker
BLS Release Schedule Public calendar Forward calendar of CPI, PPI, NFP, JOLTS, ECI, productivity, real earnings Data release calendar
ECB Monetary Policy Calendar Public page Governing Council meeting dates, statements, press conferences, SMA Global central bank calendar
Treasury Auction Schedule Public page / API Upcoming bill, note, bond, TIPS, FRN auction calendar with sizes; results post-auction Data release calendar
IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) PDF / database Twice-yearly global GDP, inflation, current-account, fiscal forecasts; full WEO database export Multilateral outlook tracker
World Bank Global Economic Prospects PDF / web Twice-yearly global growth forecasts, EM/DM split, commodity outlook, downside-risk scenarios Multilateral outlook tracker
BEA Release Schedule Public calendar Forward calendar of GDP advance/second/third, PCE, personal income, trade balance Data release calendar

Semiconductors

Global billings, memory pricing, equipment capex, fundamentals, and HBM commentary. The bedrock of the MU view and the cross-read into NVDA/AMD/AVGO.

Source Method What to track Site use
WSTS Historical Billings Report Excel / PDF Monthly semiconductor billings by region, 3-month moving averages Global semi sales tracker
SIA market data Web / press WSTS-based monthly sales, units, ASPs by product/region where available Global semi sales tracker
TrendForce DRAM spot prices Public page DRAM spot pricing direction Memory pricing tracker
SEMI equipment billings Press releases Semiconductor equipment billings, capex cycle Equipment / capex tracker
SEC EDGAR APIs JSON · no key 10-Q/10-K facts, filing history, XBRL facts, companyfacts bulk ZIP MU fundamentals tracker, HBM tracker, XOM driver bridge
SEC company tickers JSON Ticker to CIK mapping Foundation — ticker→CIK resolution for every SEC EDGAR pull
TSMC Monthly Revenue Public IR page Monthly TSMC revenue (NTD), YoY and MoM — foundry leadership read on AI/HPC/smartphone demand Foundry leadership tracker
DigiTimes Asia (free section) Public articles Asia supply-chain reporting on foundry utilization, memory, AI accelerators, equipment Context layer — supply-chain narrative, no dedicated widget
Counterpoint Research insights Public press Free smartphone / handset / memory / foundry market share press releases Context layer — share / unit-volume cross-checks

Oil & energy

Prices, U.S. inventory data, refining throughput, global supply/demand, and speculative positioning. The energy cycle dashboard is the cleanest to fully automate.

Source Method What to track Site use
EIA API API · free key WTI/Brent, crude inventories, gasoline/distillate stocks, refinery utilization, product supplied, imports/exports Oil dashboard, Inventory surprise dashboard, Refining margin proxy, XOM driver bridge
EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report Web / API Weekly U.S. crude, gasoline, distillate, refinery, demand data Inventory surprise dashboard
FRED — WTI / Brent series API · free key WTI, Brent, macro/industrial series Oil dashboard, Refining margin proxy
CFTC Commitments of Traders API / CSV Managed-money crude positioning, net longs/shorts Positioning dashboard
JODI Oil Database CSV downloads Country-level oil production, demand, stocks Context layer — global supply/demand cross-check, no dedicated widget
OPEC MOMR PDF / manual OPEC supply, demand forecasts, inventory commentary Context layer — monthly narrative input, no dedicated widget
Baker Hughes Rig Count Public weekly page U.S. and international weekly rig count by basin and oil/gas split — the cleanest free supply-side leading indicator Rig count tracker, XOM driver bridge
EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) Excel / PDF / web Monthly EIA forecasts: U.S. and global oil supply, demand, prices, inventories, refining margins STEO forecast tracker
IEA Oil Market Report PDF / web Monthly global oil balances, OECD inventories, demand forecasts (executive summary public) Context layer — cross-check vs. EIA STEO and OPEC MOMR

Shipping & trade

Container freight indices, U.S. port throughput, and HS-code-level trade flows. Where supply-chain stress shows up before headline macro.

Source Method What to track Site use
Freightos Baltic Index (FBX) Public / limited free 40-foot container rates by major lane Container freight tracker, Supply-chain stress dashboard
Drewry World Container Index Public weekly page Weekly container freight benchmark Container freight tracker, Supply-chain stress dashboard
Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) Public page China / export container freight Container freight tracker
BTS Monthly TEU Data Socrata API U.S. port TEU volumes Port throughput tracker, Supply-chain stress dashboard
Census International Trade API API Imports / exports by HS code, port, country, end-use Trade flow tracker
UN Comtrade API · free tier Global trade flows by commodity / country Trade flow tracker
Cass Freight Index Monthly press / PDF U.S. domestic freight shipments and expenditures (truck, rail, intermodal) Domestic freight tracker, Supply-chain stress dashboard
Port of LA Signal Public dashboard Real-time and forward-look TEU forecasts at the largest U.S. container port Port throughput tracker
ATA Truck Tonnage Index Monthly press release U.S. for-hire truck tonnage, SA / NSA, MoM and YoY Domestic freight tracker

Macro & demand

The backdrop layer: supply-chain pressure, industrial production, and PMI breadth that sit underneath every other vertical.

Source Method What to track Site use
NY Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index Public data / page Global supply-chain stress Supply-chain pressure tracker, Supply-chain stress dashboard
FRED — semiconductor industrial production API · free key U.S. semiconductor / electronic-component production Industrial production overlay
ISM PMI reports Public release Manufacturing PMI, new orders, inventories, supplier deliveries PMI breadth dashboard
BLS API API · free key CPI, PPI, nonfarm payrolls, unemployment, JOLTS, average hourly earnings, employment cost index Inflation tracker, Labor market tracker
BEA API API · free key GDP, PCE, PCE inflation, personal income, corporate profits, trade balance Inflation tracker, Consumer demand tracker
Federal Reserve Beige Book Public PDF / web Eight-times-yearly anecdotal read of economic activity across 12 Fed districts Beige Book sentiment tracker
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Monthly release Consumer sentiment index, expectations, current conditions, 1-yr / 5-yr inflation expectations Consumer demand tracker
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Public dashboard / CSV Real-time GDP nowcast, sub-component contributions, model history GDP nowcast tracker
Census Retail Sales / Durable Goods API · free Monthly retail trade, advance retail sales, durable goods orders, factory orders Consumer demand tracker

Valuation reference (Damodaran)

Aswath Damodaran — NYU Stern, the “Dean of Valuation” — updates the most-used free valuation datasets on the internet. Cost of capital by industry, country risk premiums, betas, multiples, margins. Free Excel downloads, refreshed annually (some quarterly). The reference layer behind every DCF on this site.

Source Method What to track Site use
Damodaran Online (data archive) Public page Top-level navigation to every dataset, paper, spreadsheet, and lecture — the entry point Cost-of-capital reference
Cost of Capital by Industry Excel WACC, cost of equity, cost of debt, capital structure for ~95 industries (US, Global, Europe, Japan, EM, India, China) Cost-of-capital reference, used in DCF tool
Country Risk Premiums & ERP Excel / web Implied ERP (US monthly), country risk premiums (~180 countries), sovereign default spreads Cost-of-capital reference
Industry Betas & Unlevered Betas Excel Levered / unlevered betas, debt-to-equity, cash-adjusted betas by industry — for cross-checking comps Cost-of-capital reference, used in WACC tool
Industry Multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA, EV/Sales) Excel Trailing and forward multiples by industry, price-to-book, EV/Invested Capital, EV/Sales by sector Industry multiples reference, used in comps tool
Industry Margins & Operating Stats Excel Gross / operating / net margins, ROIC, ROE, capex/sales, sales/capital by industry Industry multiples reference
Musings on Markets (blog) Blog / public Damodaran's running commentary on valuation, ERP, sector views, individual-name DCFs — canonical reading Context layer — methodology cross-check

Widget blueprint

If the source tables above are the inputs, this is the outputs — the specific dashboards, trackers, and metrics each vertical's data becomes once it's wired up. The “Site use” column in each table links straight to the matching widget below.

Rates, FX & credit

Economic calendar & policy

Semiconductors

Oil & energy

Shipping & trade

Macro & demand

Valuation reference (Damodaran)

MVP source stack

Start here. Cleanest to automate, widest coverage, no key-management headaches. Everything else is a nice-to-have layered on top.

One-stop public research terminal

Ten sources to ship the v1.

This is the smallest set that produces a credible cycle dashboard for semis, energy, shipping, and the macro / policy layer in a weekend — no Bloomberg, no FactSet, no Daloopa, no paid shipping feeds.

  1. EIA API — oil prices, inventories, refinery utilization, product demand.
  2. FRED API — WTI / Brent, macro indicators, industrial production, easy chartable history.
  3. SEC EDGAR API — MU / XOM financials, filings, filing alerts.
  4. WSTS Historical Billings Report — monthly semi cycle data.
  5. Census Trade API — import/export flows by HS code.
  6. BTS Socrata API — port TEU data.
  7. CFTC COT — crude positioning.
  8. TrendForce DRAM page — memory price direction.
  9. BLS API — CPI, PPI, NFP, JOLTS — the inflation and labor backdrop everything cyclical sits on.
  10. FOMC calendar + CME FedWatch — meeting dates, statements, and the futures-implied path the market is pricing.

Cycle scores

One composite read per sector, refreshed from the sources above. Where the rest of the page supplies inputs, this is the synthesis — one number that tells you where each cycle is.

Memory cycle

MU / Memory Cycle Score

  • DRAM price trend
  • WSTS memory / semi sales
  • MU gross margin
  • MU inventory days
  • SEMI equipment billings
  • HBM commentary tagging
Energy cycle

XOM / Energy Cycle Score

  • WTI / Brent trend
  • EIA inventories
  • Product supplied
  • Refinery utilization
  • Rig count
  • CFTC positioning
Supply-chain

Shipping Stress Score

  • Freightos / Drewry / SCFI
  • BTS TEUs
  • Census import volumes
  • NY Fed GSCPI
  • Cass / ATA truck tonnage
Macro / policy

Macro Cycle Score

  • Core CPI / PCE trend
  • NFP + JOLTS
  • ISM PMI breadth
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow
  • FedWatch implied path
  • Michigan inflation expectations

All sources above are public and free at the tier described. Some — Freightos, Drewry, OPEC MOMR — gate the deepest-history series behind paid plans; the public surface still gives a usable signal. Nothing on this page is investment advice. See disclaimer.